At the same time, the bashers should be careful, too. As we enter Phase 2, remember how silly you all looked when you all predicted the iPhone’s demise in that period before it went on sale.
Like the iPhone, the iPad is really a vessel, a tool, a 1.5-pound sack of potential. It may become many things. It may change an industry or two, or it may not. It may introduce a new category — something between phone and laptop — or it may not. And anyone who claims to know what will happen will wind up looking like a fool.
I wasn’t fully convinced during the presentation, but the more I’ve thought about it, the more niches it seems to effortlessly fill, the more creative apps I can imagine, the better it seems for ANY form of non-movie-night media consumption (Which means other movies, tv, books, magazines, web-content, etc).
To beat a dead horse, it’s not about features, it’s about experience, and the combination of a touch-educated public, developers who are motivated and enabled to continue capitalizing on that, as well as accessible pricing creates scenarios we aren’t capable of fully predicting.
I am willing to establish a base-line however: a successful hit by Apple sales definitions.